- Time you’re submitting the transaction, t
- Time at end of slot, T
- The amount of discretion based on how you prioritize your priority fee. Tweak it to understand how much to bid.
- The state contention factor. Factor in how much the extractable value is for the mev opportunity.
- The bidder margin, how much you think you can pocket if it goes through. Your target margin should be determined based on your risk tolerance and the potential value of the transaction.
pFt * M(t,T) + ασ(t,T) = Pbid
Adjust your bid based on real-time commitments from providers. Start with conservative estimates and tweak as you learn the market.
The goal is to find the sweet spot where your bid is competitive enough for inclusion, but not higher than necessary.